An extended bear market may be upon us as altcoins either create new yearly lows or revisit historical support areas. While the prolonged downtrend can be difficult to trade, it doesn’t necessarily mean that there are no profitable trade opportunities. In fact, we’re seeing a promising setup now in Steem/Bitcoin (STEEM/BTC).
Steem broke support of 0.00012 on November 9, 2018. Bulls tried to reclaim the support on the next day but to no avail. Their inability to take back 0.00012 effectively flipped the support into resistance. When participants saw this, they raced to cut their losses. This triggered a waterfall event that saw this coin breach 0.00011 support like a hot knife slicing through butter.
The good news is that this panic selling has created conditions that are ideal for a range trade.
Technical analysis shows that STEEM/BTC is managing to stay above historical support of 0.0001. Now, we are seeing many altcoins hold on to their historical support. What makes Steem unique is the huge volume it generated on November 16. On that day, the market had a volume buzz that’s over 100% of its daily average. With such huge volume, this crypto rallied to as high as 0.0001176 on the same day.
The rally is a dead-cat bounce or the B-leg of an ABC corrective wave. The C-leg should drive the pair down to 0.0001 support at which point Steem will likely range trade between 0.0001 and 0.00012.
The strategy is to buy the dip as close to 0.0001 support as possible. If STEEM/BTC holds on to the support, the market will trade sideways for some time before it can make another big move. Nevertheless, the sideways trading should give us the chance to buy low at the support and sell high at 0.00012.
The process may take more than a month.
4-Hour Chart of Steem/Bitcoin on Binance
As of this writing, the Steem/Bitcoin pair is trading at 0.0001089 on Binance.
Summary of Strategy
Buy: As close to 0.0001 as possible.
Disclaimer: The writer owns bitcoin, Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins, but does not engage in short-term or day-trading.
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